Price forecast for TON in August 2025: Can Toncoin break through the $4 mark? Key price ranges, fact

2025年8月，Toncoin 在大市值加密资产中表现亮眼。8月首周，其价格稳定运行在3.61至3.71美元之间，延续自6月中旬以来的稳步上涨趋势，过去一个月涨幅约24%。这种表现得益于现货交易量的持续提升，以及在 DeFi 与 NFT 领域的强劲发展。其生态亮点包括：TON 头部 DEX——STON.fi 完成950万美元A轮融资，Telegram 集成推动 NFT 活动创纪录增长，以及高达5.58亿美元的企业金库累积计划。这些进展为未来价格走势提供了有力支撑。

Ton 价格技术分析：3.2–3.3美元支撑位、3.7美元阻力位，以及后续行情确认信号

TON 价格飙升至3.7美元附近——5月的价格上涨未能突破该区域——但首次触及即遇到明显卖压。随后的回调过程较为有序，买家在3.3至3.2美元这一明确需求区间积极防守。

整体结构依然保持积极：市场在6月重回支撑，形成更高低点，当前于阻力下方横盘，动能正逐步修复。从短线确认信号来看，交易者正关注3.3–3.2美元区间的有效反弹表现，具体包括现货成交量回升、下影线逐渐缩短，以及4小时与日线周期出现更高低点的格局。

若日线收盘价明显跌破3.2美元，整体结构将转弱，并增加行情向3.0美元心理关口进一步回调的风险。相反，若价格持续升破3.7美元，并反复回踩测试确认支撑有效，则看涨趋势将被强化，行情有望在8月继续走强。7月31日，现货净流入达到年内新高的1335万美元，反映出基础需求的提升，进一步巩固了 TON 价格的积极走势。

2025年8月 TON 价格预测：基准走势、看涨及风险情景分析

本预测仅为情景分析展望，不构成任何投资建议。

基准情景(偏向上行区间)：3.2–3.9美元

原因：3.3–3.2美元需求区间支撑表现良好。如果买方继续支撑该区域，且资金流入保持强劲，TON 大概率将在需求区与3.7美元阻力位之间震荡，强势行情下有望延伸至3.8–3.9美元区间。

触发因素：3.3–3.2美元区间支撑回踩确认有效;市场广度改善;生态持续利好消息推动。

看涨突破情景：3.9–4.1/4.4美元

理由：若日线收盘价突破3.7美元，且成交量放大并有持续跟进买盘，行情有望冲击4.0美元心理关口，若动能进一步增强，则有望出现超预期上行。

Trigger conditions: The support level of $3.7 has been successfully breached, and the price has stabilized effectively. Additionally, there are several positive factors that could further drive price increases, such as milestones in DeFi expansion, continued leadership in NFTs, and continuous increases in reserves.

Bearish risk scenario: Price could drop from $3.2 to $3.0.

Reason: If the price fails to hold at $3.2, it may lead to a deeper correction. The target is to reach the support level of $3.0.

Triggering factors: Overall market decline (bitcoin/ethereum under pressure), slowdown in inflows of physical funds, or the emergence of negative news.

Key trading signal indicators:

Bullish continuation: Look for the price to rebound between $3.3 and $3.2, then reach a new low. After that, with increased trading volume, the price could break through $3.7 and confirm its support.

Note/Invalid: If the daily closing price falls below $3.2.

TON DeFi: Capital flows, liquidity, and profit opportunities contribute to the price of TON.

In recent months, TON's DeFi sector has made significant progress, providing structural support for the market and thus helping to stabilize the price of TON. STON.fi, as the core platform covering over 80% of TON's DeFi users, recently completed a $9.5 million Series A financing. This funding aims to accelerate cross-chain operations and improve governance. If this roadmap is successfully implemented, users can expect more abundant liquidity, more efficient price discovery, and a better trading experience. All these factors will help keep the price of TON stable during market fluctuations.

Capital flows are reflecting this trend. On July 31st, the net inflow of funds reached a new high for the year, at $13.35 million per day. This indicates that market participants’ enthusiasm for investing in this asset has once again increased. The diverse investment opportunities available on the TON native platform are also a key factor attracting capital inflows. Recent yield rates include: Ethena(USDe) with a maximum rate of約18%; TONCO(TON/USDT) at 63%; STON.fi(TON/USDT) at約24%, plus an additional 14% bonus for STON; Storm Trade(TON) at nearly 23.9%; DeDust(TON/USDT) at約14.7%; and Torch Finance(tgUSD) at約13.8%. Although these yields can vary depending on incentives and market conditions, the wide range of options effectively enhances the stability of liquidity on the chain. Analysts and investors who are optimizing short-term TON price predictions consider the continuous growth of DeFi as a key indicator, further reinforcing optimistic expectations.

TON NFT Craze: How Telegram’s collections and stars affect TON prices

The integration of Telegram’s large user base has contributed to the continuous increase in activity around TON NFTs. On June 9th, the daily trading volume of TON NFTs on the platform reached $9.7 million, which is approximately 62% of the total market volume. This figure is three times higher than Ethereum’s and eight times higher than Solana’s. The cumulative sales of NFTs have exceeded $300 million, with over 2 million NFTs traded so far.

Telegram 藏品礼物在本轮增长中起到了关键作用。这些资产直接嵌入聊天场景，既可在个人主页展示，也可在应用内交易，并可按需上链铸造，实现溯源和流动性。公开数据总览及 Telegram 创始人帕维尔·杜罗夫(Pavel Durov)的评论均表示，过去数月 TON 的 NFT 日交易量频繁位居榜首或接近榜首，且在市场活跃日多次挑战甚至超越 Solana。

Telegram 的星星经济体系广泛应用于游戏及数字奖励领域，将新用户和需求引流至数字藏品领域，推动链上活跃度和手续费收入的提升。这种社交原生的 NFT 飞轮效应显著提升了网络粘性和用户参与度，从而能在行情盘整期间为 TON 价格提供支撑，并为基于真实应用价值而非单纯炒作资金的 TON 价格稳健预期提供有力佐证。

机构金库布局：5.58亿美元战略为何助力 TON 价格上行

Institutions are actively participating in this initiative, adopting innovative enterprise vaulting models. Verb Technology (NASDAQ: VERB) has completed a private financing of $558 million. It has become the first publicly traded company specializing in TON vaulting solutions, and plans to change its name to TON Strategy Co. This round of financing attracted over 110 institutions, including Kingsway Capital, Vy Capital, Blockchain.com, and Ribbit Capital, along with several cryptocurrency investors. The company intends to use most of the funds raised to acquire Toncoin, thereby generating interest rate gains from holding Toncoin. This will help establish a cash-flow-oriented vault, while also maintaining exposure to potential price increases. From a strategic perspective, specialized vault buyers can provide sustained demand, and over time, they may reduce the market’s circulating supply of Toncoin. The staking rewards further reinforce the long-term ownership of Toncoin, as well as its connection to network security. The experienced management team involved in TON’s ecosystem enhances the project’s credibility. These positive factors could contribute to a structural increase in TON’s value, becoming an important consideration in predicting TON’s price movements over the medium term. Key variables that need attention include transparency in purchasing decisions, the pace of capital accumulation, and risk management policies. Large-scale buying initiatives may also cause temporary fluctuations, especially in markets with low liquidity.

Conclusion: Pay attention to key signals and critical positions.

Overall, the trend in August is positive. After several tests at the resistance level of $3.7, the price of TON is currently stabilizing above the key support range of $3.3–3.2. Our baseline forecast suggests that the price of TON will fluctuate strongly within the range of $3.2 to $3.9. If there is a breakout and the price stabilizes above $3.7, it could further rise to $4.0–4.1. If momentum continues to strengthen, the price of TON could reach $4.4 during a strong market session. If the daily closing price falls below $3.2, the bullish pattern will be weakened, and $3.0 might become an important focus again. From a fundamental perspective, the expansion of DeFi liquidity, Telegram’s influence in the NFT sector, and the gradual implementation of institutional wallet strategies all provide strong support for the technical outlook. Traders and investors should pay attention to the support levels in the $3.3–3.2 range, the changes in trading volume as the price approaches $3.7, and the latest developments in the ecosystem, in order to adjust their forecasts for the price of TON this month accordingly.