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塞勒预测比特币将突破10万美元,策略公司股价面临MSCI指数裁决

2026-10-14 21:27:29
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策略公司增持比特币,MSCI决定本周五公布

策略公司(Strategy)执行主席迈克尔·塞勒(Michael Saylor)表示,比特币已进入新的牛市周期,并预计其价格将重新攀升至10万美元以上。他认为比特币的底部在6万美元略下方出现,目前正处于8万美元区间的复苏阶段。

据最新数据披露,策略公司在近期购买了250枚比特币,花费约2,150万美元,使其持有的比特币总量达到848,250枚。与此同时,摩根大通估计,若被剔除出相关指数,约有28亿美元的投资资金面临风险,而MSCI的最终决定预计将于本周五揭晓。

塞勒预测比特币重返六位数

10月13日,塞勒在接受彭博电视台采访时发表了上述观点。当时比特币的交易价格约为8.3万美元,较2025年10创下的历史高点下跌了约34%。

塞勒认为,最糟糕的下跌阶段已经过去。“我们在略低于6万美元的位置触底,”他说道。他指出,比特币随后已回升至8万美元区间,并确信价格将重回六位数,但未给出具体的时间表。

Looking back, Bitcoin reached a historical peak of $126,251 in October 2025. Shortly thereafter, there was a settlement event involving approximately $19 billion, which put significant pressure on leveraged positions. Since mid-August, Bitcoin has been fluctuating around $80,000, continuing the long-term decline that started from its historical high.

Saylor listed several reasons for his optimism, including changes in the monetary environment, the introduction of new regulatory policies, and increased investment from large institutions. He also expects that as banks gradually adopt Bitcoin, it will benefit from this trend. He stated that as financial institutions expand their crypto services, demand for digital credit products will also drive the development of Bitcoin.

Strategy companies continue to increase their holdings and engage in capital operations

Saylor said that as the market recovers, strategy companies plan to continue purchasing more Bitcoin and intend to fund these purchases by issuing additional securities.

Data shows that between October 5th and October 11th, Strategy companies purchased 250 Bitcoins at a price of approximately $21.5 million, increasing their total holdings to 848,250 Bitcoins. During the same period, the company also repurchased preferred stocks worth $192.4 million.

Regarding future earnings, Saylor predicts that Bitcoin will grow at a rate of 20% to 30% per year in the coming years. However, he emphasized that this is his personal long-term forecast, not a guarantee of returns for investors.

Strategy companies raise operating funds through various sources, including preferred stocks, cash reserves, and the issuance of common stock.

There is a risk of changes to MSCI index rules

The strategy company still faces the risk of changes to the MSCI Global Stock Index rules. The proposal aims to remove from the index those companies that primarily hold assets rather than operate businesses.

Saylor criticized this plan, arguing that strategy companies should be classified as operating companies instead. He described MSCI’s stance as “a bad precedent for both them and the industry,” and called on index providers to reconsider this decision.

JPMorgan estimates that excluding such companies from the index could result in a potential loss of approximately $2.8 billion in capital flows. MSCI is expected to announce its final decision on Friday, and this decision will determine whether strategy companies are eligible to be included in the global benchmark index and the funds that track it.

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