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DOGE没有供应上限真的重要吗...?

2026-10-08 03:17:39
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$DOGE: The economic logic behind unlimited supply

As the world's largest memecoin by market capitalisation, one of the most basic features of Dogecoin is often misunderstood by the public: it has no maximum supply limit and will never set an upper limit.

Fixed additional issuance and decreasing inflation rates

Unlike Bitcoin, which has a constant total of 21 million coins, Dog Coin adds 5 billion coins to the market every year to circulation, and this process is endless. As of June 2026, its circulation supply is approximately 154 billion $DOGE pieces, and this number continues to grow.

This design was not negligent, but deliberate, and fundamentally shaped the behavior of $DOGE as an asset. Co-founder Jackson Palmer designed Dogecoin to encourage consumption rather than hoarding, so it has positioned itself as a transactional currency since its inception. Initially, the token had a supply cap of 100 billion coins, but was later removed and an inflation model was used instead.

The most common criticism of this model is that "unlimited supply equals hyperinflation." However, mathematical logic reveals a more detailed truth: although the number of new $DOGE is fixed at about 5 billion each year, as the denominator (total supply) continues to increase, the proportion of this new amount is shrinking year by year. This is called the "Disinflationary" model.

With a circulating supply of 154 billion $DOGE units, the annualized inflation rate is about 3.4%. When the supply reaches 200 billion units, the inflation rate drops to about 2.6%. If it reaches 300 billion units, it further drops to about 1.75%. Over time, inflation will approach zero, but it will never truly return to zero. By the mid-2030s, the annualized inflation rate of $DOGE is expected to be below 2%, which is in line with the Federal Reserve's target inflation rate for the dollar.

Does no upper limit harm the value of $DOGE?

The honest answer is: It depends on what role you want $DOGE to play.

The lack of a supply cap is indeed a structural disadvantage for investors seeking to gain value purely through scarcity. Bitcoin's value proposition relies heavily on the concept of "limited supply and gradually decreasing relative to demand," which Dogecoin cannot make the same argument.

About 5.26 billion new $DOGE pieces enter circulation every year. Based on the price of approximately US$0.086 on June 17, 2026, this means that approximately US$452 million in new supply needs to be absorbed by buyers every year to keep prices flat. To achieve price increases, market demand must exceed this threshold.

However, supply mechanisms are only part of the picture. Although continued additional issuance constitutes a structural headwind, historically, the price trend of $DOGE has been driven more by adoption rates, overall market performance, community participation, cultural influence and investor sentiment, rather than just by its inflation schedule.

At the institutional level, four U.S. spot ETFs are currently launched on the Cboe exchange, adding channels of regulated demand that did not exist before.

In the final analysis, the bigger misunderstanding lies in evaluating Dogecoin from the perspective of examining Bitcoin. The core of Bitcoin's design is scarcity, while the core of dogcoin's design is circulation. Understanding this difference is the key to understanding why dogcoin does not have a supply cap.

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