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BTC 币安、Bybit与Kraken九月现货交易量回升，市场波动加剧
9月份，币安（Binance）、Bybit和Kraken的比特币现货交易量均高于7月水平，显示交易活动正逐步恢复。与此同时，从9月23日至10月5日，比特币现货净流量在流入与流出之间剧烈摆动，标志着市场呈现出高度波动的特征。
分析师Darkfost指出，若要挑战87,000美元以上的新高，比特币需要更强的现货成交量和需求支撑。尽管自7月以来现货交易量有所复苏，但分析师认为当前的需求仍不足以推动价格实现决定性突破。
现货交易量从7月低点温和回升
Darkfost表示，比特币现货交易量在7月份降至熊市以来的最低水平。这一 declines 恰逢比特币价格探底，反映出近三年来最弱的市场兴趣。此后，交易活动虽略有改善，但成交量尚未出现决定性的反弹。
数据显示，币安9月的现货交易量超过500亿美元，高于7月的420亿美元；Bybit的交易量也从140亿美元增至190亿美元。Kraken的表现同样亮眼，其交易量从7月的40亿美元翻倍至9月的80亿美元。据Darkfost统计，这些主要交易所录得了最高的交易量，且这一增长伴随着比特币价格的新一轮动能。
资金流向呈现剧烈震荡
Bitcoin's net spot flow also fluctuated significantly between September 23 and October 5. There was a net outflow of approximately $175 million on September 23, followed by an outflow of nearly $100 million. However, on September 25, the inflow turned positive, with a scale of approximately US$100 million. The positive reading on September 28 was close to $70 million. The strongest positive peaks occurred around September 30 and October 2, reaching approximately $165 million to $175 million, respectively. It is worth noting that a net outflow of nearly US$155 million was also recorded on October 2, highlighting the characteristics of a large two-way movement of funds.
Bitcoin prices remain around US$86,000
Bitcoin prices previously climbed from the US$82,000 - 83,000 range to US$87,000, and then fell back to around US$85,000. The price has now rebounded to around US$86,000, and the latest offer is in the range of US$86,000 - 86,500. The magnitude of the recent net flow histogram has also narrowed compared to earlier readings.
Darkfost emphasized that spot trading volume and demand must accelerate growth before Bitcoin can try to hit new highs. The chart shows that $85,000 is the key support level in the near term, while $87,000 is the target level that needs to be recovered. If prices continue to fall below $85,000, it may expose a lower support area of $82,000 - 83,000.
