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BTC Bitcoin is in jeopardy at its key support level of US$82,500, and oil prices soar amid concerns about U.S. -Iran military action.
After Wall Street opened on Thursday, oil prices rose as market concerns about U.S. and Iran military action intensified, and Bitcoin (BTC) faced the risk of losing its key support level of US$82,500.
Core Points:
- Affected by new concerns about U.S. -Iran military action, Bitcoin fell back to US$81,000 for the first time, the lowest level since September 21.
- U.S. 30-year Treasury yields hit a multi-decade high, and senior Federal Reserve officials said further interest rates could be raised.
- Bitcoin price movements increasingly show the possibility of losing the important support level of US$82,500.
Reports of US-Iran conflict triggered a surge in oil prices
TradingView data showed that the price of BTC/USD on the Bitstamp platform fell to US$81,000-the lowest point since September 21. 
BTC/USD Four-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView
NBC News quoted Pentagon officials and people familiar with the matter as reporting that the United States may be preparing to launch a new round of military strikes against Iran. This led to higher oil prices on the day, with WTI crude reaching US$93.20 a barrel, the highest price since October 2; Brent crude reaching US$105.88. 
Four-hour chart for WTI crude oil futures. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView
U.S. President Donald Trump told supporters at a rally in San Antonio, Texas that Middle East envoy Steve Vitkov has made progress in negotiating a peace deal with Iran, but admitted he has little personal interest in diplomatic outcomes. "I don't think reaching a deal is what I really want, but they are willing to offer anything to stop the conflict," he told The Independent, expecting the conflict to end in the "very near future."
U.S. bond yields hit a 24-year high, and Federal Reserve officials hint that they will raise interest rates further.
The U.S. 30-year bond yield hit a 24-year high of 5.73% that day and then fell to 5.65%. 
Daily chart of U.S. 30-year Treasury yields. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView
Comments from Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller put pressure on yields, arguing that further interest rates are needed to curb inflation. "If economic data continues to be released as expected, I expect additional rate hikes to be taken to support a more timely return of inflation to the 2% target. However, there is some flexibility as to when these rate hikes will be implemented,"he said in a speech at the Central Bank of Turkey Forum in Istanbul. "Interest rates do not need to be carried out in consecutive meetings, but they should be in place within an acceptable period of time." 
Probability comparison chart of the Federal Reserve's target interest rate (screenshot). Source: CME Group
CME Group最新发布的FedWatch Tool数据显示，市场增加了对美联储12月会议加息0.25个基点的押注。周四，这一结果的概率超过70%。对于10月会议，共识仍倾向于在当前3.75%-4%的水平暂停加息。
比特币82,500美元支撑位悬而未决
比特币的价格走势让交易员在82,500美元支撑位附近等待明确的动向。
此前，Cointelegraph报道指出，得益于与2022年熊市末期相似的情况，该支撑位在比特币从接近57,000美元的多年低点反弹的大背景下具有重要意义。
交易员兼分析师Rekt Capital在当天的X平台更新分析中写道：“比特币仍处于过渡阶段，并处于关键技术节点。当涉及到比特币构建其下一个市场结构时，约82,500美元是决定性的价格点位。”
https://s3-images.ctmedia.io/media/content/2026/10/01M4E3SBCVFJ02WTS86VHJT4XV/pasted-image-732.jpeg
BTC/USD周线图。来源：Rekt Capital on X.com
比特币跌破82,000美元加剧了加密市场的多头清算，据CoinGlass数据显示，截至撰稿时，此类清算金额约为4.3亿美元。
