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比特币已成“股市傀儡”,彭博策略师警告鲸鱼拒绝退让

2026-10-15 03:39:33
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比特币与股市关联日益紧密

比特币(BTC)与股市的联系正日益紧密。彭博情报(Bloomberg Intelligence)的高级商品策略师迈克·麦格隆(Mike McGlone)认为,比特币已逐渐演变为“股市的傀儡”,他指出比特币与美国股市之间存在高度相关性,且价格波动更为剧烈。

在10月1日接受Wealthion采访时,尽管大型持有者持续买入,麦格隆仍对比特币的表现表示质疑,并维持其看跌观点。据麦格隆所述,今年比特币下跌约4%,而标准普尔500指数则上涨约3%。他还指出,比特币在过去近五年中表现不及股市,这挑战了主流加密货币始终作为传统金融资产替代投资品的观念。

有趣的是,麦格隆的悲观情绪并未止步于此,他仍未放弃此前颇具争议的预测,即比特币可能跌至10,000美元。他的论据是什么?他指出,更广泛的加密货币市场仍处于“清洗”阶段,暗示在市场找到可持续的复苏之前,可能出现进一步的下跌。

巨鲸持续逢低买入

与麦格隆的观点相反,Ash Crypto指出了另一种趋势,报道称在一天内,五个钱包买入了1,076枚比特币,价值约9,042万美元。来源:Ash Crypto

这位市场分析师承认,尽管散户投资者对当前的市场回调感到恐慌,但大型持有者却主动出击,积累了更多比特币。这些购买行为加剧了近期市场疲软期间备受关注的巨鲸活动模式。根据市场分析师Ali Martinez的数据,在比特币价格从约87,000美元下跌至80,000美元的过程中,巨鲸们在五天内累计购买了16,010枚比特币。

这种买入活动说明了什么?这表明部分大型持有者将价格下跌视为积累更多筹码的机会,而非退出持仓的理由。

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