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Ethereum price analysis: ETH maintains bullish structure, but $2800 remains key resistance

2026-10-05 15:11:56
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以太坊价格分析:日线图

在日线图上,以太坊继续在 $2,680 至 $2,770 阻力区的下沿进行盘整。该区域内的多根K线均留下了上影线,凸显了持续的卖压。然而,相对较浅的回撤幅度表明,买盘在阻力位下方依然活跃。

从更广泛的视角来看,前景依然向好。ETH 目前交易在上升趋势线以及两条显示的移动平均线之上。黄色移动平均线已穿越橙色均线并持续上行,巩固了复苏结构。这种看涨的交叉提供了有力的背景支撑,尽管价格仍需突破附近的供应区域。

若能在 $2,770 上方实现决定性的日线收盘,并随后突破近期约 $2,800 的高点,将为迈向 $2,900 至 $3,000 的阻力区铺平道路。反之,若跌破 $2,640 附近的盘整低点,则可能增加向上升趋势线及标示出的 $2,360 至 $2,420 支撑区深度回调的可能性。

ETH/USDT 4小时图

4小时图显示,以太坊正在一个上升通道内交易。在接近 $2,780 的上边界遭遇拒绝后,价格回踩至通道中轴附近,随后又回升至约 $2,700。这表明最新的下跌目前仍属于更广泛上涨结构中的修正行情。

The current immediate obstacle remains the $2,680 to $2,770 supply area. If we can hold the central axis of the channel of approximately $2,670, we will support another attempt to break through this barrier. A successful breakthrough will shift the focus to the current channel upper boundary of approximately $2,800 to $2,820.

However, if prices continue to fall below the central axis and recent lows of $2,650, the short-term outlook will weaken. This situation may expose the $2,630 and $2,580 support areas, followed by the $2,440 to $2,480 demand areas. The lower boundary of the channel is close to this demand area, making it a key area for maintaining a broader bullish structure.

Sentiment analysis

The two-cycle Binance ETH/USDT clearing heat chart shows that there are a large number of estimated clearing clusters above and below the current price. The particularly bright upper band is located around $2,780 to $2,800, with some concentrations extending to $2,850. Below the price, significant clusters appear around $2,610 to $2,630, while there is also widespread concentration in the $2,550 to $2,600 area.

The clusters above closely align with recent price highs and the upper part of the technical resistance area. If buyers build a sustained breakthrough above $2,770, short liquidations around $2,780 to $2,800 could fuel the rally. Still, touching on this liquidity in itself does not confirm that ETH can maintain higher prices.

Conversely, if nearby channel support is lost, a clearing pool of $2,610 to $2,630 may be triggered, which may cause the decline to accelerate as leveraged bulls liquidate. As a result, Ethereum is currently located between two huge liquidity concentrations, and the identified direction of technological breakthroughs is likely to determine which clearing pool will come into play first.

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