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XRP XRP can theoretically reach US$10,000, but only a very small number of holders can stick to it until then.
Although there is a theoretical possibility of XRP reaching US$10,000, cryptocurrency commentator Jake Community XRP believes that only a very small number of long-term holders can stick to that level. In a tweet, he detailed how different investor groups cashed out in batches as prices gradually climbed. The subsequent video further explored XRP's supply, exchange balances, institutional hoarding and potential future demand.
Most holders may leave early
Jake Community XRP points out: "XRP will never reach $10,000 because the elite will not easily make ordinary people millionaires." The post then raised another reason that might make it difficult for XRP to reach that price point.
It is estimated that 90% of investors will clear all their positions when the XRP price reaches $10; another 9% will sell at $100; and only 0.9% will withdraw at $1,000. According to analysis, only 0.1% of XRP holders will persist until the asset price reaches $10,000.
Video focuses on the available supply structure of XRP
The accompanying video focuses on analyzing the supply structure of XRP. Speakers said that the maximum supply of XRP is 100 billion tokens, and there are currently approximately 62 billion tokens in circulation on the market.
Later, the video turns its focus to the exchange balance. Data shows that there are currently 1.6 billion XRPs available for immediate trading only on the exchange. The speaker noted that most of the remaining tokens have been transferred by investors to cold wallets, institutional escrow accounts or exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
The video explains that if demand continues to increase, this small exchange supply will become critical. The speaker also claimed that XRP had an outflow of 7 billion tokens on the exchange in February, with 91% of the outflow attributable to giant whales and institutional investors.
Institutional hoarding drives the argument
Speakers further highlighted the increase in the number of holding at least 1 million XRP addresses. According to the video, the number of such "millionaire" XRP addresses has begun to increase again after months of decline.
The video also quoted data from the U.S. XRP ETF, claiming that the value of assets it currently holds has reached US$1.1 billion. Speakers believe that institutions may eventually use XRP for cross-border transactions rather than just holding it as an investment target.
Speakers linked this potential need to developments around the XRP ledger. He pointed out that financial institutions have begun to build infrastructure to support larger-scale use of XRP.
Existing supplies may be tested
The video also discusses Ripple's custody release mechanism. Speakers estimated that Ripple releases approximately 200 million to 300 million XRPs from escrow accounts every month. At the same time, he noted that agencies continue to remove XRP from the market.
Speakers believed that this combination of supply and demand could create a situation where demand exceeded the amount of XRPs available in the market.
Jake Community XRP's article ultimately shows that while a $10,000 XRP is a possibility, only a very small percentage of holders are likely to experience this moment.
