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BTC 比特币正朝着它的命运之日迈进。这会是一波向上突破，将比特币价格推回历史高位，还是会暴跌进入熊市，甚至可能让比特币在整个2026年都举步维艰?
比特币价格进入修正阶段
$BTC上一轮上涨行情将价格推至下降趋势线附近，并略高于90,500美元的水平阻力位。然而，这波上涨势头已接近尾声，目前价格正处于回调阶段。这一切都非常正常，就像潮起潮落一样。
尽管如此，价格还是创出了更高的高点。如果它能够守住主要的上升趋势线，或者即使跌破该趋势线，也没有创出更低的低点，那么本周末就有可能出现向上突破。
当然，如果形成更低的低点并且价格持续低迷，则可能出现下跌而不是突破。
熊旗上的头部和肩部图案
日线图上出现了一个令人担忧的迹象。可以看出，比特币价格仍在熊旗形态中波动，而且其中还形成了头肩顶形态。熊旗形态通常会向下突破，这本身就够糟糕的了，而头肩顶形态的出现更是雪上加霜，令看跌情绪加倍。
In addition, the Stochastic RSI indicator is showing signs of a downward crossover. Looking at the 4-hour chart, it can be seen that the Stochastic RSI line has already reached its lowest point within this time frame. There is hope for a bullish trend: when the indicator crosses upward, it could indicate sufficient upward momentum, thereby preventing a bearish scenario from occurring.
Bitcoin is in a precarious position. If the weekly closing price falls below the main uptrend line, it could lead to disastrous consequences. Nevertheless, looking ahead to 2026, there are still many positive factors regarding Bitcoin. This means that as long as the U.S. stock market remains strong, any form of decline could be reversed.
What would be the worst-case scenario if Bitcoin prices really fall? If there is another wave of decline, $80,000 seems like a likely next target. This level corresponds to previous local lows and represents a significant resistance level. If this resistance level is broken, then the main support zone between $74,000 and $69,000 will come into play.
In summary, it should be noted that the Stochastic RSI indicator this week is close to its bottom, and the same applies to the two-week time frame. Additionally, the RSI indicator is currently at its lowest point since the beginning of this bull market, indicating that either the bottom is being formed or it is approaching soon.
Pushing prices to critical levels or even higher is a common tactic used by market makers to induce investors to sell their tokens. Will your token become one of those tokens to be sold?
