Latest developments in the CLARITY Act
On September 15, the Senate vetoed the bill to advance the CLARITY Act by a narrow margin of 49 to 50. In response, cryptocurrency industry executives responded with notoriously restraint, and they generally believed that the result did not offset the ongoing regulatory progress by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Several executives pointed out that the more pressing issue is the sustainability of the regulatory framework. Executive branch rules may be overthrown by future governments without congressional action, while legislation can solidify the framework into law. This gap puts financial institutions and developers in a situation where the regulatory rules governing their businesses remain subject to political changes.
Several executives compared the situation in the United States with Europe. The European Union's Crypto Asset Markets Regulation (MiCA) takes effect in December 2024 and provides a fixed statutory rulebook for companies operating in the region. Frederik Gregaard, CEO of the Cardano Foundation, said builders could not afford to wait for U.S. action. "In Europe, at least according to MiCA, builders know the rules of the game."@
Joshua Riezman, chief legal and strategy officer at @# trading firm GSR, said the failure of the vote gave other jurisdictions the opportunity to establish their leadership in global digital assets, while the United States continued to lose ground.
Industry warns of possible capital flow to other jurisdictions
NEAR首席法务官Abhishek Vaidyanathan表示,现在制定2027年预算的企业面临着又一次漫长的延迟。由于缺乏法定框架,它们被迫回到个案法律判断中,而交易对手方仍在为监管不确定性定价。“目前持币观望、期待明确立法的资本可能会简单地流向其他地方。”他说。Enso联合创始人兼首席执行官Connor Howe指出,如果没有一项单独的参议院投票,下一任SEC主席可以重写任何机构规则,而废除一项法案则需要国会再次采取行动。他注意到,为那些从不接触客户资金的软件开发者提供明确的法律保护,是未能通过立法的一项条款。
Hilbert Group首席执行官Barnali Biswal表示,预测市场已经对失败进行了定价,这也是为什么此次投票没有引发大幅抛售的原因。然而,她警告说,围绕稳定币收益语言的底层斗争并不会因为一次失败的终结辩论投票而消失。“如果没有这项妥协方案,机构资本将继续在一个碎片化、执法严厉的市场中导航。”她说。Michael Saylor的Strategy公司在X平台上发文称,无论《CLARITY法案》如何,比特币(BTC)在美国多年来一直享有法律和监管的清晰度,理由是现有的CFTC、IRS、SEC和FASB分别将BTC视为商品、财产、获批的现货产品和GAAP资产。
若民主党赢得参议院席位,沃伦有望担任银行委员会主席
对法案投下反对票的伊丽莎白·沃伦参议员在9月15日向记者表示,《CLARITY法案》代表了华盛顿“实现有意义加密货币监管的第一次机会”,但她指出,任何法案都必须包括针对公职人员加密货币投资的 enforceable rules(可执行规则)、更强的国家安全保护措施以及针对非法金融的更严格措施。她表示,如果民主党在11月赢得参议院多数席位,她愿意领导新法案的谈判工作。预测市场Kalshi给予民主党接管参议院的概率为52%。如果出现这种情况,沃伦将有资格出任参议院银行委员会主席。
“我很乐意与其他民主党人、共和党人以及行业代表坐下来,敲定一份有意义的加密货币法案,保护我们的国家安全,保护我们的经济,并遏制腐败。”沃伦说道。众议院已取消了原定于9月21日和28日的计划会议。参议院的州工作期将于11月3日选举前的10月5日开始。致力于选举亲加密货币立法者的行业超级政治行动委员会Fairshake尚未决定在选举前的最后几周如何处理那些对法案投下反对票的参议员。本届国会任期将于年底结束,因此《CLARITY法案》的任何进一步行动都取决于明年1月就座的新国会。

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