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比特币(BTC)跌破长期上升趋势线：空头是否正在赢得这场战斗?

2026-10-14 22:39:32
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The price of Bitcoin is declining. No matter what positive news there may be, the cryptocurrency market continues to move downward. While the US stock market has almost reached a new all-time high, Bitcoin faces the risk of falling back to previous bull market highs. What will be the trend of Bitcoin prices in the last few days of this year?

Either the downward trend line or the upward trend line will eventually give way—which one will it be?

Source: TradingView

The price of Bitcoin is moving towards the intersection point of the downward trend line (which has been ongoing since the historical high of $126,000) and the main upward trend line (which began in October 2023). One of these two trend lines will inevitably give way, and prices will reach this intersection point before the end of the week.

It’s concerning that prices have once again fallen below the main trend line. Does this indicate a future downward trend? Or will prices continue to fall, only to rebound strongly by the end of the year?

It’s important to note that if this correction phase doesn’t result in a drop below the previous key low point of $84,480, then there will likely be another lower low point after reaching the recent high.

Be cautious of potential scams.

Source: TradingView

The daily chart shows that the price of Bitcoin has fallen below the main trend line. However, there is still some time before the close of the current session. It can be seen that several previous sessions ended with prices below the main trend line, but the bulls managed to pull the price back above this trend line the next day.

周六是比特币价格可能继续遵循上升和下降趋势线的最后一天。此后，价格走向将无人知晓。此外，也不排除出现假突破的可能性。做市商总会在最终确定性走势之前，设法平仓多空交易者。

底部探底过程即将结束

来源：TradingView

周线图显示，底部形态的形成即将结束。回顾上一次底部形成时(当时比特币价格在之前的下降楔形中震荡)，可以看出，价格突破楔形后，底部形态持续了七周。而目前的底部形态已经持续了六周。

从图表底部来看，随机相对强弱指标(Stochastic RSI)似乎正朝着底部回落。然而，只要未来几天价格下方出现可观的成交量，这种情况就可能发生改变。

当然，空头很可能会先将价格暴跌至主要水平支撑位。这或许能达到预期效果，让最后剩下的紧张投资者冷静下来。然而，这可能只是一次短暂的暴跌，随后可能会出现一波强劲的反弹。

Disclaimer:

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