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Analysts analyze the triggers for DOGE's next round of double-digit surge

2026-10-04 21:12:19
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DOGE encounters resistance, ETF fund flows suggest caution

As the "originator" memin, Dogecoin was rejected earlier this week before it really challenged the key resistance level of $0.10, but then rebounded from a multi-day low. Prominent analyst Ali Martinez pointed out that while breakthrough patterns may be in the works, the asset must overcome key resistance levels to achieve this goal. However, exchange-traded fund inflow data does not support this bullish argument.

Is the next step to rise by 14%?

Looking back, during the general market rally from September 22 to 23, Dogecoin soared to US$0.104, and then short forces intervened and significantly suppressed the price. In just a few hours, the memecoin plummeted to $0.092. Since then, it has repeatedly tried to break the resistance level of $0.10, but failed.

The latest setback came on Friday, when the market collapsed as a whole, sending Bitcoin down more than $3500. In contrast, Dogecoin fell from $0.098 to $0.091, and then recovered to the $0.092 -0.093 range over the weekend.

Martinez指出,在4小时图表上,该资产的下降三角形整理形态仍在持续。狗狗币必须在同一时间框架内 decisively(果断地)突破0.095美元并收于其上方,才能确认看涨突破。这位分析师上周曾指出,DOGO鲸鱼在4天内抢购了超过11.4亿枚代币。他预测,如果该模因币重新收复上述阻力位,接下来可能出现14%的涨幅,达到0.106美元。

“随着价格接近顶点,结构变得越来越紧凑,突破可能即将到来。”他补充道。

ETF资金流向提示谨慎

9月最后一个完整的工作周带来了一些狗狗币粉丝未曾见过的景象——对追踪其表现的现货ETF产生了实际兴趣。总净流入量创下近290万美元的新纪录。虽然这一金额远不及比特币、以太坊、瑞波币或索拉纳ETF的流入量令人印象深刻,但这仍是该模因币的历史新高。

当时这被视为利好信号,但在随后的五个交易日中,市场未能维持这种势头。SoSoValue的数据显示,兴趣在周一消散,但周二资金回流878,790美元。然而,一天后投资者撤出了551,430美元,而在10月1日和2日则没有报告任何可记录的流入量。

因此,狗狗币的机构端依然脆弱,但该资产历来并非由大型机构主导,散户往往在其价格走势中占据主导地位。

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