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XRP fell below triangular support and analysts maintained price targets of $1.88 and $2.90

2026-10-09 06:36:44
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XRP突破三角形态,分析师维持看涨目标

XRP近期完成了一项关键的技术形态构建,在经历大幅下跌后,引发了对其价格走势的新一轮分析。密切关注XRP价格动向的加密货币分析师Dark Defender指出,尽管该代币向下突破了对称三角形整理区间,但只要关键支撑位得以守住,更高的上涨目标依然存在。

XRP从三角形形态中滑落

据Dark Defender分析,XRP在日线图上曾长期处于对称三角形结构内震荡。这一形态由两条收敛的趋势线界定,分别连接了8月份约1.70美元的波峰(第1波)和9月份约1.29美元的波谷(第2波)。价格在三角形内部盘整数周后,最终选择向下突破。

此次突破导致XRP下跌了0.08美元,分析师将此描述为市场结构的正常调整。他强调,其长期上涨目标并未改变,并呼吁追随者不要因这次回调而感到恐慌。

Dark Defender观察到,只要XRP收盘价高于1.5692美元,第三波上涨的设置就依然有效。他指出,通往上涨目标的路径取决于代币能否重新夺回这一关键阈值。

关键支撑与阻力位

He sees $1.5692 as a critical level, citing its role as an 85.40% Fibonacci retracement level. Analysts suggest that if the daily line closes firmly above that level, it will signal a continuation of bullish expectations. If prices are blocked, buyers may try to defend at two support levels of $1.4445 and $1.3798, which correspond to Fibonacci retracement levels of 70.20% and 61.80% respectively. Both positions are currently below the current price of $1.4164.

Further downside could send XRP to US$1.2939, which is the 50% Fibonacci retracement level, but Dark Defender did not designate it as the main support level.

Hierarchy Price Fibonacci ratio Resistance level $1.5692 85.40% Support Level 1 $1.4445 70.20% Support Level 2 $1.3798 61.80% Deep callback $1.2939 50.00%

Targets for potential rebound

For Dark Defender, the upside target remains unchanged. Analysts identified $1.8815 as the first target, corresponding to a 161.80% Fibonacci expansion; the next target was $2.9032, corresponding to a 200% expansion. These targets are based on the expectation that if XRP can regain its footing above $1.5692, a third wave of bullish scenarios will be activated.

Dark Defender assures XRP holders that his previously set price target will not change as long as the price structure confirms a continued bullish trend above its key level.

Daily RSI provides additional perspective

During the first wave of gains in early August, the XRP's daily relative strength index (RSI) exceeded 70. With the recent decline, the RSI has fallen back to a median range of more than 40 points, indicating that the market has absorbed some of the overbought situation. This correction leaves room for a possible rebound in new momentum in the future.

Micro Dictionary: RSI (Relative Strength Index)-A technical indicator that measures the speed and change of price movement, commonly used to identify overbought or oversold conditions in financial markets.

Outlook remains optimistic

Despite the downward breakthrough, Dark Defender reiterated his constructive stance, saying that as long as XRP remains above $1.3798 and can recover $1.5692, a third wave of bullish scenarios will still exist. If these conditions are met, reaching $1.8815 and $2.9032 will represent the next stage of development.

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